Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at Mercurial Heart Charity Cup
decks
3
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
8-8-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.5%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
48.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1317
· median 1276
· range 1250–1426
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1241
Q3 1434
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 18.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.4% | +15.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.8% | -6.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.0 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.2% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 62.4% | +9.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.8 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
